WSE's Live Announcement Redux.
For the first part of the live discussion, LukeConnell Vandeverre said the following things (taken as notes during the audio; analysis to follow):
- 'What we are doing at WSE is special'... 'it is a service'... 'it is a role playing game'... 'however, the technology behind the WSE service is'... 'Ruby on Rails'... 'chose because it is a new and exciting language'... 'provides best opportunity'... clean upgradable...
- 26,000 user accounts
- quotes the '12 million user accounts' from Linden Lab.
- around here he starts saying umm.
- Talks about Facebook, as if WSE is tied to it...
- WSE is not a real investment, not a casino, just a 'game'.
- WIC was based on the Linden Dollar. WSE was in breach. WSE's risk exposure was increased to future policy changes by Linden Lab (no it wasn't).
- Multilingual interface.
- 'Web 2.0 has taken the internet to an all new level'...
- talking about what WSE will be in about 12 months time. 'exciting and new'.
- WSE will no longer be using the Linden dollar.
- hints that Linden Lab may get rid of stock exchanges, or even Linden dollars (probably bullpoop).
- Middle to late march is new date for opening.
- Pointed out that if there are sellouts, they will be bought up by other people.
- unsubstantiated forecasts of more accounts.
- Wanna get out of WSE? Sell your license to use WICs... tada. Now, remember what Luke said - the Linden dollar is also a fictional currency, and he's cutting ties because he's afraid that they might change their policies without warning. WSE has a track record of closing in much the same way.
- 1:1 currency for Linden balances. Previous WICked balances were 1:1 US. The latter have been converted from 1:1US to 1:1 Linden (x 265).
- Claims better exit plan than other exchanges (VSTEX, SLCapEx, et al)
- End of Jan was initial deadline. This (obviously) didn't happen. No full time developers, 4.0 is so 'complicated', etc - which goes against comments supporting use of 'Ruby on Rails'.
- 5 days after developer says it is done they will reopen.
- Said LL did not inform them of banking ban, but that WSE staff are super-intuitive.
It is probably not a mistake that there is no text associated with this on the WSE Live website. LukeConnell Vandeverre wittily contradicts himself on more than one occasion. This is glaringly obvious when he spoke of the use of 'Ruby on Rails' for ease of development, which he later blames for their lack of progress. It is also obvious that he defended the move to forcing people to the WIC instead of refunding people by stating that the Linden dollar itself is only a limited license product, and that 'Linden Lab could revoke it at any time'. In essence, he implied the same thing of the WIC - but spoke highly of the WIC itself.
In essence, this seemed like a monotone message of desperation with an Australian accent.
Anyone who knows anything of software development knows that code development happens offline and is then tested before going to a live server. This is not what LukeConnell Vandeverre is claiming to have happened for 'WSE 4.0'.
Further, comparing WSE to Facebook and other successful ventures is a lot like comparing your water hose to a swimming pool. It just doesn't work.
As far as claiming to be 'better' than the other stock exchanges - LukeConnell fails to acknowledge that every other stock exchange is open, and that they are doing their best to avoid people losing money. At least they're honest about it and stand up to criticism, instead of doing live broadcasts with no room for Q&A. LukeConnell, please find some... intestinal fortitude to go with the stoic monotone.
My advice: If you have Stockholm Syndrome, believe everything he said. Otherwise, start making plans on how to best get a return on your fictional investment in the fictional role playing game of the fictional WSE run by the fictional LukeConnell Vandeverre.
In Part II, LukeConnell Vandeverre shows off a 'museum' of Wikipedia linked objects. Sorry, Luke, I did that in August 2006 and give out my collection full mods in person, or make it available for 1 Linden dollar on SLExchange. At 10 Linden dollars per texture upload, I'm glad that LukeConnell Vandeverre is trying to make so much PR out of what is not original.
I am sure glad I don't have my money being hijacked by WSE.
What it boils down to is this: Cheers, Mate! Have some Kool Aid while we use your money, since you gave the license of your Linden dollars to us!
Shades of Nicholas Portocarrero.
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Oh well
Another one to add to the "SL toy capitalist fraudster" list. Well, admittedly I had already pencilled it in. With a pretty firm pencil.
The waffling about Rails sounds quite comical.
At least they weren't quite blatant enough to call their fake money "WTF", though perhaps "WIC" has some sort of meaning that I am not young enough to be aware of.
My Take and a challange..
I posted my own notes from the broadcast as a reply to an older thread. It hasn't shown up due to the moderation filter, and although Nobody suggested I repost it, he's done a so much better job than me that I wont bother. Instead I'll give you my opinion on the broadcast.
LukeConnell ("He" in future to save typing) used phrases such as "fictional" and "limited licence" about the L$ and WIC and "simulated gaming environment" and "simulated market" about the WSE so many times it make me feel sick. He spent the whole duration of the cast stressing that everything he and the WSE account holders are doing is a game and that that the L$ and WIC isn't real. Sorry LukeConnell, that doesn't hold. People deposited L$ with you with the expectation of being able to get those funds back (if they didn't loose them due to a bad decision of their own). If you think that at some point in the future you can shut up shop and not refund people the value of their L$'s or WIC and get away with it, you have a nasty surprise waiting for you.
He also stated that as soon as you gave someone L$, either through direct transfer or through payment to an object, you forfeit your right to control that L$ and you'd only get that right back if the person you paid felt like giving it to you. To me this simply says, I have your money, don't believe your getting it back unless I feel like it.
I'm also curious as to how he intends to launch a "real life" virtual stock exchange in 12 to 18 months if he doesn't have full time developers. As a 15 year Software Engineer myself, I know how difficult and expensive it is to write complex software to the quality it would be required for a stock exchange and despite his claims, Ruby on Rails won't make that a whole lot easier either. So it concerns me that there (from my understanding of it) a number of developers working on it when they like.
Its worth noting that he claims the delay in the return of the WSE is due to the project starting late. Now while there are a huge list of good reasons as to why a project could be running late, not having started it isn't a good one.
I'm also concerned about his apparently lack of care about testing. He stated that the WSE would deploy 5 days after the developers said it was ready and with sufficient testing (added on as an afterthought). Now, as a developer myself, I know things arn't necessarily right when I'm think their done, Thats why my company has a Testing and QA department.
This also brings the question, why did he shut down to WSE if the project wasn't ready for deployment? He claims he wasn't warned about the banking ban but instead saw increased risk but, personally, I don't believe that for a second.
So, where is LukeConnell going with the WSE. Well, he claims that in 12 to 18 months he's going to launch a new "real life" virtual stock exchange. Of course, taking past performance into account your actually looking at something between 18 and 27 months right now. But the question springs to mind, who's actually going to invest in this exchange? Anyone to takes a few minutes to examine his past is going to see exactly what he's been up to and run for the hills. Theres also this thing in real life called regulation, something WSE has not yet been subject to, though many people argue it should be.
And so now your L$ are WICs. This is interesting in itself as, while doing a google search for "World Internet Currency", the only references I can find relate to the WSE. Who is the enigmatic person or organisation behind this "currency" and what guarantees do we have it wont go poof. I wouldn't at all be surprised to find out that LukeConnell is behind it and he's just succeeded in converting everyone's L$ to a currency that it totally under his control.
Why do I say this? Simply, how else would he be able to have the WIC revalued as he has while converting L$ to them? Previously 1USD was approximately 0.98WIC (after fees). Now you'll get approximately 256 WIC's to the USD (I don't know if thats before or after fees). If LukeConnell has no influence over the WIC except that of a service that supports its use, how did he get that to happen? Either way, he is now insulated against LL declaring the L$ an actual currency.
On that note, he also believes that switching to the WIC will insulate the WSE against LL banning exchanges or dropping the L$. (While some would argue the former a worthwhile thing, I doubt the latter would ever happen). Does he seriously think that LL would allow WSE to stay in SL if exchanges were banned just because they use another currency? They don't let gambling establishments using other currencies stay.
So what else has he accomplished is switching to the WIC? Simply he has made it harder for people to put money into, or take money out of, the WSE. This is obviously not a good thing for current investors, but given that it will make new accounts harder to fund, I believe less newcomers will be persuaded to hand over their hard earned "limit licence to manage" L$ to the WSE. In my mind, that is a good thing.
And now to my challenge to LukeConnell
LukeConnell has repeatedly said that the L$ and the WIC are not really and what the WSE is doing is allow people to learn the how to deal in a stock exchange. That by giving L$ (or now WIC's) to the WSE your not giving them real money at all, simply this "limited licence" so your not really loosing anything.
So, my challenge is this. I have an account under the name Talwyn Mills at the WSE, its current balance is 0.54L$ (yup, no WIC's here yet). If you believe everything you have said LukeConnell, you should have no problem in crediting that account, oh lets say 250,000WIC's (that's about 1000USD "licensing fee" for those keeping count), at no expense to me. After all, your not going to be loosing anything are you, even if I do turn round and sell the "limited license" to use it at the first opportunity? Its not real money after all (you claim).
If you accept my challenge, the amount should be deposited in my account as soon as possible and (important bit) should remain there after the WSE has re-opened (if it ever does) and I should be able to do what I like with it, including selling the "limited license" to use it for Real Life cash.
I'll send a notecard with the URL of this comment to LukeConnell in world as soon as its visible on the blog and I'll keep you all updated as to what, if anything, happens.
I see two possibilities here. First, Luke takes a hit of about 1000USD to save face, I make a bit of money out of this and I'll (figurativly) eat my hat. More likely, absolutely nothing happens thereby confirming that LukeConnell believes the L$/WIC to actually be worth some real world value, which of course makes a lie out of all his previous statements.
24hours on
And nothing from Luke. No IM's, notecards, emails or balance in wselive.com.
Facebook Applications & Sociopathy
Good points all around. Yes, Luke continues to think that his definitions will be binding in a court of law, or that because he sees it a certain way, we must all be compelled to do so. In recent months he spoke of a "killer app" which we can see through his continued fixation with Facebook will be nothing more than a Facebook Application for WSE. I won't even go into what's wrong with that or why it will fail.
And as to your challenge to Luke, give up. He's going to do what he's going to do until he takes one in the head and/or two in the chest. Nature of sociopathy.
I'll call this the 'Talwyn Mills Challenge'.
I'm pretty sure Luke won't spend the money to prove you - and by proxy, the majority of Second Life users - wrong.
Second Life Consultant
I don't expect him to
I don't expect him to either, and indeed I've had no response from him at all at this point other than accepting the notecard.
But that in itself proves the point, if the L$ and/or WIC really has no real life value, Luke shouldn't have any problem handing over a big bunch of them to me even if just to save face. But by refusing to do so he is acknowledging that there is an inherit value to the currency and proving his "fictional", "game" and "simulation" statements as false.
Yup
It is common sense. Benjamin Noble (VirtuallyBlind.com) also demonstrated on more than one occasion how easy it would be to swing a jury that way.
Sadly, I don't see any juries in the near future - but they will eventually come, and all the settlements will have been for naught for 'limited license fictional currencies'.
Second Life Consultant
Actually this exposes Luke to more RL trouble than he thinks
Since Luke has failed "Talwyn's Challenge" he has admitted to some intrinsic value in his WICs. By recognizing that the WIC is more than just a game token or a license, and since he has apparent full control of the "currency" (It was pointed out earlier that if he didn't have full control, how could he adjust the exchange rate on the fly), then he is opening himself up to some easily won, imo, lawsuits if anyone wants to pursue, if it is worth it. (Sorry for that extremely long sentence! Where is an editor when I need one!!) I don't think LL would stand in the way of that! In fact I think they would be more than helpful just to be rid of the problems an alternate currency would cause in SL. Alternate currencies with arbitrary exchange rates would make Gambling and ludicrous bank interest rates look like church socials. Isn't one of the reasons for the RiskAPI an attempt to identify money laundering? How would you be able to prevent laundering/fraud with alternate currencies in control of a single or a small group of avatars that do not need to answer to LL for currency exchange operations?
Right now Luke is making Nicholas Portacerro look like the next cannonized saint! Sorry, I guess there already is a Saint Nick!
This may prove to be an interesting development after all. I empathize with the current shareholders in WSE. I do not mean to make light or trivialize your plight.
Well, in the US...
There is an old law with the Federal Reserve which doesn't allow private currency, or something like that... I forgot the details of it, but it is one of the reasons that 'fictional' is in. Its legalese for 'do not fall in legal hole'.
Second Life Consultant
Yep, you are right...
Rather than "currency" I should have referred to it as a "licensed product". Either way I think LL would be more than happy to be rid of alternative "licensed products" and it's associated "licensed headaches", especially if they don't have to be the "bad guys" in doing so.
WICEXCHANGE
No need to speculate (hehe) on this, HopeCapital has "acquired" the WIC Exchange.
http://www.wicexchange.com
SW
Isn't it interesting that
Isn't it interesting that the wic exchange website is down with the following message:
"THE WIC EXCHANGE WEBSITE IS CURRENTLY CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE AND MOVE THE SITE TO NEW SERVERS."
So, HCL have acquired another business that holds peoples money (or "limited licenses to use a fictional currency" if you want) and the first thing they do is shut it down for an unspecified period of time for upgrades. Anyone else see a pattern in that?
Anyway, now we know that Luke controls the WIC as well as WSE, that just reinforces my challenge. If the WIC is not inherently worth anything, and given that he can create them on demand now, what reason could he have for not giving a big chunk of them to anyone who asked?
Splitting hares (yes, i know...)
Might be just splitting hairs here, but what does intrinsic value have to do with not wanting to give something away?
I have a whole bunch of stuff that no one would want and isnt 'worth' anything. Principle is; it's mine! You can't have it!
Parable: I have a pile of dirt in my back yard, you need some for your garden, well, come do some work for me and you will have 'earnt' the right to some of my dirt.
SW
Dirt is a physical thing,
Dirt is a physical thing, some people do pay for it (landscapers for example) and once its gone, its gone.
WIC/L$ are not physical and since Luke now appears to control the WIC, he can create and destroy them as he likes (note that destroy bit, its important). If the WIC truly has no intrinsic value and it all is just a game, my question would be why wouldn't he give them away?
What reason could he have for not doing so, especially if doing so would prove his point that (he at least) considers them worthless?
BTW, 48hours on and nothing heard.
Your neighbor...
Has better dirt. At a lower cost. :-)
Second Life Consultant
Notecard away
I've sent a notecard to both Nobody Fugazi and LukeConnell. LukeConnell has accepted the inventory offer.
I received the notecard.
Confirmed.
Second Life Consultant
I'll get it inworld
Good notes. And thank you for the compliment in how I covered it... I may quote your thoughts in subsequent posts myself. :-)
Second Life Consultant
Like I said ...
Exchanges are next, of course it will be after people have lost their money because they handed it to a stranger. I will not shed a tear.
Arthur Fermi
Fermi Sandbox & University
www.fermidesigns.com
I'm not very comfortable
I'm not very comfortable about everything being transferred to a WIC balance. I just have lots of questions about how it will work, how people will be able to access funds and so on. I guess I'll figure it all out in another month.
Conversion
Basically here is how you go from US$ to L$ and back again in lukes new world
Note: PP = Paypal.
USD$ - PP - WICS$
WICS$ - PP - USD$ - Lindex - L$
L$ - Lindex - PP (if you go this way) - US$
Correct me (and forgive me) if I got lost in there somewhere
SW
Okay - This is silly.
A couple of questions come to mind:
1) What incentive is there to IPO on WSE now that you will recieve WICs instead of Linden and will have to transfer out of WSE and into SL?
2) What incentive is there to pay dividends? Now you will have to transfer company funds out of SL into an unknown WIC converter just to get fund to pay dividends? And then the shareholder has to transfer back out of WIC and into SL?
3)Is is too much to ask for an exchange that does business in SL to use the SL currency?
Most people are too lazy for such conversion. This will put quite a wrench into the WSE traffic machine, as if the reputational damage wasn't enough.
Also sounds like a lot of transferring. I wonder if WSE will charge transaction fees for WIC-L$ conversion? Additional revenue stream....hmmmm.
You're missing the point of Luke's plan
it's one for global financial domination. He doesn't really want SL companies paying fractions of a penny in dividends. He wants RL (although probably still web-based) businesses.
I think he believes that he can run some sort of extra-jurisdictional exchange, which, because it is web-based and uses his 'fictional' currency, won't be subject to regulation anywhere. In Luke's vision, we'll all be buying shares in Scrabbulous, Bebo will IPO with him, and soon he'll be a bigger player than Google.
It's sheer megalomania, and he's going to come a cropper very soon.
Am I?
I see right through it.
He's trying to use a group of hostage companies as a demonstration for people to invest. He's using all these companies as a snapshot to show investors, promising all sorts of crackpot things.
World domination? That might be what he is trying for, but smart people do research. And Luke's just feeding Google through a lot of increasing criticism around the web.
Watch the figures for Second Life over the years. Its only after 4 years that Linden Lab started to see true growth. And even now, they are trying to make sure that it doesn't plateau - or worse, decrease.
I've seen successes and failures. During the Dot Com boom, there were 300 starry eyed people for every single success. Each success provided people value. WSE does not add value. Its smoke and mirrors around a house of cards waiting for a nice stiff wind to scatter everything like a category 5 hurricane.
In some things, it pays not to be the precedent.
World Domination? Bah. A niche, maybe. A means of legalizing gambling. ;-)
Second Life Consultant
Heh.
I was looking at it from the conversion angle, and it seems that businesses currently registered on the WSE will be paying a lot more in conversions than some of them pay in dividends.
This, of course, works to the WSE's advantage - because while they have the funds, they have an interest free loan. And that is if Luke decides to give them back. ;-) Remember, this is the 52nd day of WSE closure.
Second Life Consultant
Not to mention that they
Not to mention that they have created accounting headaches for WSE listed company accounting. Everybody brush up on how to deal with conversions. How are we supposed to list financials? In WICs? I guess the folks at HCL didn't really think this one through, probably since they haven't posted financials since who knows when?
Are you implying this just
Are you implying this just may be a ruse in an elaborate scam?
Wake the F-up, people!
I think what is being said is that...
You can build a house of cards, but beware the wind.
Second Life Consultant